Toll Brothers, Inc. | TOL

Daily Technical Analysis of Toll Brothers, Inc.

Toll Brothers had a nice pop today and is currently up 3.43% we'll see if the cash keeps flowing in.

Currently TOL isn't at a clear support/resistance line that seems tradable. But let's also consider momentum! Toll Brothers has had a nice run over the last year and provided good returns to shareholders. Over the previous year, the Homebuilding & Construction company has grown 84.27 percent which isn't too bad. TOL might find some support at the 149.74 level, buyers might push the price back up from here. But it's not very clear what will happen.

Last analyzed on 2024-11-13

Analyst Ratings for Toll Brothers By Price Target And Rating

The analysts are pretty neutral on Toll Brothers right now, so not much useful information here. The current Analysts Sentiment Score is 4.69. Most companies range between (-200 to 200).

Here's a break down of the latest rating changes. On 2024-04-05 Citigroup increased their price target by 18.97% to $138.00. Oppenheimer gave a boost to their price target and moved to $157.00 from $141.00 on 2024-03-21. Keefe, Bruyette & Woo provided a price target boost of 12.5% to $135.00 from $120.00 on 2024-02-28. On 2024-02-26 Barclays increased their price target by 21.05% to $115.00. JPMorgan Chase & Co. provided a price target boost of 0.79% to $128.00 from $127.00 on 2024-02-23. On 2024-02-22 The Goldman Sachs Group increased their price target by 2.13% to $96.00. Wells Fargo & Company boosted their price targ by 8.33% to $130.00 on 2024-02-22. On 2024-02-21 there was confirmation of the previous rating by Wedbush which was Neutral and provided a price target of $87.00. Seaport Res Ptn downgraded from Buy to Neutral on 2024-01-22. On 2024-01-08 there was an upgrade provided by Wolfe Research from Peer Perform to Outperform and added a price target of $118.00.

Company	Ratings Score ? Composite analyst sentiment score	Positive Ratings	Negative Ratings	Boost Price Target	Lower Price Target
TOL	4.69	3.06	-3.33	11.46	-1.81

Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates By Year and Quarter

(updated 2024-03-27)

Company	YOY Growth Score (typical -20 to +20)	Revision Directions (-6 to +6)
TOL	0.00	0.00

Short interest for Toll Brothers

We take into account several different measures of short interest to create a composite score. These measures are shown in the chart below. Short selling is when investors are betting against a stock. We compile these factors to create a dynamic Short Score - this can indicate poor sentiment, internal problems with a company or industry and the anticipation of future price declines. We look at the short interest percent, days to cover, the rate of change and total shares sold short.

Company	Short Score (typical 1-15) ? We take into account several different measures and attributes of short interest to create a composite sentiment score. typical range (0 - 30)	Short Interest	Days to Cover	Rate of Change	Shares Short
TOL	5.39	%6.1	3.8	12.408	6490000

How Toll Brothers compares to the broader Consumer Cyclical sector and the more specific Homebuilding & Construction industry

Segment	Count	1 Day%	5 Day	1 Month	3 Month	6 Month	1 Year	RSI	3mo S-momo ? Smooth Momentum is our proprietary technical indicator that looks for momentum with the greatest consistency and steady velocity. We have penalized dramatic swings and fluctuations. If the momentum is too high and an asset spikes upward, this is often unreliable and collapses back down. But the smoothed momentum provides the highest probability of continuing into the near future with the same directional rate of change. Several complex factors are weighted by neural nets to maximize probabilistic accuracy. It works the same with positive or negative directions.	6mo S-momo	1yr S-momo	Resistance ? Support and Resistance levels are determined by previous high and low points. You may be familiar with traders drawing lines across charts where several peaks or valleys occur in the same range. This helps us understand the trading range of an asset where the market doesn't perceive it to be worth more or less than a certain price level. When it nears the boundaries of this range the probability of reversal can increase. Our neural nets create scores for this measure based on many factors such as the frequency, recency, size, consistency, etc of previous reversal points.	Support	Demark Sell ? Demark 9 indicators are designed to look for exhaustion in the selling or buying trend which can often be predictive of a reversal point. This indicator is triggered when there are 9 consecutive days where the closing price is higher/lower than the closing price 4 days ago. Like all indicators, it is best used in combinations with other factors.	Demark Buy	Short Interest	Analysts Ratings ? We track several different measures of analyst sentiment including ratings and price targets. To create a composite Analyst Sentiment Score, we weight several factors such as the recent rate of change which can be more predictive than the absolute level. We also weight each analyst's opinion based on their historic accuracy. We built in a time decay function to ensure that the rating reflects the current sentiment levels. Typical range (-80 to +80)
Homebuilding & Construction Show Me Companies With: S-Momentum: Highest \| Lowest At Bottom Support At Top Resistance RSI Highest \| Lowest 1 Day Growth: Highest \| Lowest 5 Day Growth: Highest \| Lowest 1 Month Growth: Highest \| Lowest 6 Month Growth: Highest \| Lowest List All Stocks	18	2.27	3.79	5.11	0.78	22.17	51.21	52.06	31.44	23.22	38.88	-2434.63	-15791.39	19.44	0.00	4.25	1.30
Consumer Cyclical Show Me Companies With: S-Momentum: Highest \| Lowest At Bottom Support At Top Resistance RSI Highest \| Lowest 1 Day Growth: Highest \| Lowest 5 Day Growth: Highest \| Lowest 1 Month Growth: Highest \| Lowest 6 Month Growth: Highest \| Lowest List All Stocks	279	1.77	3.04	4.69	6.40	11.14	23.94	59.31	23.32	10.37	11.93	-9125.63	-14498.22	15.86	1.97	5.92	3.52

Social Sentiment for Toll Brothers

Social Sentiment is an aggregation of several different factors such as news, articles, blogs, user content, ratings, etc. Which is shown in the chart below. It may become predictive of a reversal if price and the sentiment diverge. Broader market forces may push prices up or down but if market participants maintain a different view on a specific stock, it may be taken as an opportunity to buy or sell in those cases.

Ticker	Social Sentiment(1-10)
TOL

Companies with the highest correlation to Toll Brothers

Company	Score	1 Day%	5 Day	1 Month	3 Month	6 Month	1 Year	RSI	3mo S-momo ? Smooth Momentum is our proprietary technical indicator that looks for momentum with the greatest consistency and steady velocity. We have penalized dramatic swings and fluctuations. If the momentum is too high and an asset spikes upward, this is often unreliable and collapses back down. But the smoothed momentum provides the highest probability of continuing into the near future with the same directional rate of change. Several complex factors are weighted by neural nets to maximize probabilistic accuracy. It works the same with positive or negative directions.	6mo S-momo	1yr S-momo	Resistance ? Support and Resistance levels are determined by previous high and low points. You may be familiar with traders drawing lines across charts where several peaks or valleys occur in the same range. This helps us understand the trading range of an asset where the market doesn't perceive it to be worth more or less than a certain price level. When it nears the boundaries of this range the probability of reversal can increase. Our neural nets create scores for this measure based on many factors such as the frequency, recency, size, consistency, etc of previous reversal points.	Support	Short Interest Score
DHI \| D.R. Horton Inc.	2.28	1.03	1.29	-9.34	-13.37	14.48	28.28	27	4.08	11.53	26.63	-3824.50	-9175.16	2.46473
LEN \| Lennar Corporation Class	2.2	0.65	0.74	-2.83	-7.08	9.18	32.55	38	3.68	12.20	28.35	-3825.41	-15787.88	2.22186
LEN.B \| Lennar Corporation Class	2.15	0.83	0.95	-2.00	-4.94	12.27	37.50	43	5.10	18.11	38.07	-3272.60	178.44	0.2
PHM \| Pultegroup, Inc.	2.12	1.28	0.93	-3.08	-1.44	14.57	47.29	44	6.34	29.93	69.66	-1014.71	-21292.79	3.51266
MTH \| Meritage Homes Corporatio	1.92	3.80	3.94	-0.02	-6.88	7.08	30.22	41	2.81	9.91	17.73	-1357.70	-1988.79	2.37268
MHO \| M/I Homes, Inc.	1.83	2.82	3.78	0.22	0.77	29.00	52.10	49	7.88	28.96	40.71	-178.48	-18918.75	3.18877
CCS \| CENTURY COMMUNITIES, INC.	1.79	1.66	4.29	-2.88	-11.37	6.78	22.98	31	0.65	3.81	6.55	-5591.90	-8269.90	5.48372
KBH \| KB Home	1.75	2.07	2.74	-0.76	-5.15	14.67	49.61	50	7.81	28.43	47.31	-700.57	-20716.54	6.33049

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